Still abuzz from a riveting finish in Memphis, we move on this week to the BMW Championship, the second stop in the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the first Tour event ever held in Delaware. The South Course at Wilmington Country Club is the venue, and the top 70 in the FedEx Cup standings make up the field, with the notable absence of No. 3 Cameron Smith, who has withdrawn, citing hip discomfort.
Will Zalatoris, who claimed his first Tour victory last week, now occupies the top spot, trailed closely by Scottie Scheffler. Both players are also near the top of the betting board, but Rory McIlroy is the current favorite, listed by the major books at 10-1.
With a limited field and no cut, the weekend promises to bring big names into the picture. To help sharpen our focus — and improve our betting prospects — we turn once more to GOLF.com’s expert prognosticator Andy Lack, who has supplied us with his four favorite wagers.
And because we like to track public opinion, too, we’re also including data from Chirp.com, a free-to-play mobile platform (and GOLF.com affiliate) that allows fans to engage with the action through a range of games. You can check out those Chirp stats at the bottom of this page.
ANDY LACK’S PICKS
Outright Pick to Win: Justin Thomas (+1700)
Odds available at Bet365
If I were tasked with designing the ideal course for Thomas, it would look a lot like Wilmington Country Club. I want the World No. 7 on courses where there is little penalty for wayward driving, which has been a staple of Robert Trent Jones designs in the past. It should come as no surprise that the 2022 PGA Championship winner has finished fourth at Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, 12th at Congressional, sixth at Bellerive, and first and seventh at Firestone. These are all mid- scoring RJT courses (meaning winning scores in the minus 12-18 range) that place an emphasis on approach shots. Thomas remains one of the best middle-iron players in the world. I’m banking on the 15-time PGA Tour winner to pick up his second BMW Championship title in Wilmington.
Top 10: Joaquin Niemann (+360)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook
I was extremely encouraged from what I saw out of Niemann in Memphis last week, where he quietly rolled to a 13th-place finish while gaining a cool seven strokes ball-striking. The young Chilean might be the most underrated driver of the ball in the world, and he has not lost strokes off the tee all season. Now he returns to Bentgrass, a turf on which he’s enjoyed a great deal of success. Multiple top-five finishes at Detroit Golf Club, wins at the Greenbrier and Riviera, and third place finishes at Muirfield Village and Olympia Fields, all lead me to believe that tree-lined, parkland golf courses seem to really fit the 23-year-old’s eye.
