Long shot eyes revenge for last year’s near-miss: 2023 3M Open odds

Tom Hoge and caddie read putt at 3M Open

Tom Hoge finished T4 at last year's 3M Open.

Stacy Revere/Getty Images

With major season complete, the PGA Tour heads to Minnesota for the 2023 3M Open, where we’re eyeing a contender from last year to capture his second-career win. Here’s our pick, the 3M Open odds, betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week.

3M Open odds: Long-shot bet

Our long-shot pick for this week’s 3M Open is Tom Hoge at +6600 odds-to-win. The 34-year-old American veteran has four top-10s on the season. He won last year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am for his lone career PGA Tour win to date.

Hoge put in a solid start two weeks ago at the Genesis Scottish Open, finishing T19. He has, however, missed three of his last six cuts, including last week at the Open Championship.

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But last season, Hoge had missed six-straight cuts heading into the 3M Open, then put together an impressive T4 finish that would have been better if not for a final-round 70.

Should you wager $10 on Hoge only for him to pull off his second career win this week, you’ll earn $660. For insurance, consider placing additional bets on Hoge to finish top 10 and 20.

Looking for more long-shot picks for the 3M Open? Our honorable-mention long shots for the week are Aaron Rai (+5000) and Doug Ghim (+8000).

3M Open odds: The favorites

The favorite for this week’s 3M Open is the man who won the title last year: World No. 19 Tony Finau, whose odds-to-win are +1200 to start the week.

He’s followed in short order by the top-ranked player in the field, Open contender Cameron Young, who comes in with +1600 odds-to-win.

Rounding out the top 5 are Hideki Matsuyama (+1800 and our long-shot pick last week), Sungjae Im (+1800) and Justin Thomas (+2200).

You can see the top 15 and ties in 3M Open betting odds as of Monday afternoon below, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week.

2023 3M Open betting odds (Top 15 and ties)

Tony Finau (+1200)
Cameron Young (+1600)
Hideki Matsuyama (+1800)
Sungjae Im (+1800)
Justin Thomas (+2200)
Emiliano Grillo (+2500)
Sepp Strala (+2800)
Ludvig Aberg (+3300)
Sahith Theegala (+3500)
Adam Hadwin (+4000)
Cam Davis (+4000)
Gary Woodland (+4000)
Keith Mitchell (+4000)
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000)
Stephan Jaeger (+4000)

How last week’s long-shot fared

We had a solid long-shot week at the Open, with our primary pick Hideki Matsuyama (+8000) carding three birdies on the back nine Sunday at Royal Liverpool to finish T13. That’s good enough for our ninth top-20 finish hit of the year (and Hideki was just one shot short of a top 10).

In other good news, our honorable-mention long shots, Tom Kim (+4500) and Jason Day (+10000), each had incredible tournaments, tying for second behind winner Brian Harman. If you put some money on them to finish top-10 as we did, you walked away with some quality winnings this week.

Check out how our long-shot picks have fared all season long below.


2023 Open Championship: Hideki Matsuyama (Odds: +8000; Finish: T13)
2023 Genesis Scottish Open: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +8000; Finish: T54)
2023 John Deere Classic: Dylan Wu (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic: Austin Eckroat (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Travelers Championship: Adam Scott (+6600; T19)
2023 U.S. Open: Keegan Bradley (Odds:+8000; Finish: MC)
2023 RBC Canadian Open: Nick Taylor (Odds: +6600; Finish: 1)
2023 Memorial Tournament: Keegan Bradley (Odds: +6600; Finish: T30)
2023 Charles Schwab Challenge: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +6600; Finish: T29)
2023 PGA Championship: Tyrrell Hatton (Odds: +4000; Finish: T15)
2023 AT&T Byron Nelson: J.J. Spaun (Odds: +6600; Finish: WD)
2023 Wells Fargo Championship: Sahith Theegala (Odds: +4000; Finish: T56)
2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta: Gary Woodland (Odds: +3300; Finish: T39)
2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans: Dahmen/McCarthy (Odds: +4000; Finish: T11)
2023 RBC Heritage: Tom Kim (Odds: +3500; Finish: MC)
2023 Masters: Tommy Fleetwood (Odds: +6600; Finish: 33)
2023 Valspar Championship: David Lingmerth (Odds: +12500; Finish: T27)
2023 Players Championship: Corey Conners (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Billy Horschel (Odds: +10000; Finish: MC)
2023 Honda Classic: Sepp Straka (Odds: +5000; Finish: T5)
2023 Genesis Invitational: Adam Scott (Odds: +5500; Finish: 65)
2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)
2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)
2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)
2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)
2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35)

Kevin Cunningham

Kevin Cunningham

Golf.com Editor

As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brand’s e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience.

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