Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, featuring picks from GOLF.com’s expert prognosticator, Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf bettor and commentator, Kannon is a host and regular guest on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio network devoted to sports and sports betting, and is a golf betting analyst for CBS Sportsline. You can follow Brady on Twitter at @LasVegasGolfer, and you can read his picks below for the 2025 3M Open, which gets underway Thursday at TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota. Along with Kannon’s recommended plays, you’ll also see data from Chirp Golf, a mobile app that features both free-to-play and daily fantasy golf contests where you can win cash and prizes with each round and tournament.
Before heading across the pond for both the Scottish Open and the Open Championship, we were in the middle of the “Midwest Birdie-Fest” on the PGA Tour — and now we’re back. Blaine, Minnesota specifically, at TPC Twin Cities for the 3M Open, as just two weeks of the regular season remain before we whittle down to the final 70 players in the FedExCup Points Standings and begin the FedExCup Playoffs.
This will mark the seventh edition of the 3M Open on Tour and the average winning score from the previous six events has been just a shade less than 19 under par — so it hasn’t always been a full-blown birdie-fest, but it can get that way. Just two seasons ago, Lee Hodges won here with a score of 24 under par. Golf oddsmaker, Jeff Sherman, at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas has made the winning score proposition bet this week Under/Over 264.5, or 19.5 under par.
The golf course is very much a standard TPC-type set up. The fairways are tree-lined and relatively wide. Water comes into play on 15 holes and there are 72 sand bunkers on the course. The greens are above average in size and are bentgrass. TPC Twin Cities is an Arnold Palmer design with some changes made in 2018 by Minnesota natives Tom Lehman and Tim Herron. The course will play to a par 71 this week and will stretch to over 7,400 yards. There are three reachable par 5s and a few par 4s measuring less than 400 yards.
We have seen all types of players fare well here but it has mostly been bombers who have won. Big hitters like Tony Finau, Cameron Champ, and Matthew Wolff have all won here, and another big hitter, Jhonattan Vegas, is the defending champion. I looked at Strokes Gained: Off the Tee this week and Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. I also leaned heavily on Total Driving (a combination of length and accuracy off the tee). I used Birdies or Better Gained, Strokes Gained: Par 5s, Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass), and how players performed on the short par 4s, measuring between 350-400 yards.
With this tournament being relatively new to the Tour schedule, we don’t have a great deal of course history or any really strong correlations with other courses that have developed, although I definitely believe there are some that make sense. For either similarities in layout and skillset requirements or similarities in leaderboard results, I used Detroit Golf Club (Rocket Mortgage), PGA National (Cognizant Classic), Country Club of Jackson (Sanderson Farms), El Cardinal at Diamante (World Wide Technologies), and TPC Deere Run, home to the John Deere Classic.
Taylor Pendrith (35-1)
Prior to missing the cut last week in Northern Ireland, Pendrith had been on a very nice run. He was 13th the week before at the Scottish Open, which proved to be a bombers paradise in 2025, and back in May he took fifth at the PGA Championship — Quail Hollow being another course that caters to bombers and certainly highlights Total Driving. Pendrith ranks 24th on Tour in that category. He’s very solid in all of the stats this week and finished fifth here last year. He’s also been as high as runner-up at Detroit Golf Club.
Max Greyserman (35-1)
I have been anti-Max for a while now but this week, I am hoping my timing is right. Greyserman is a very good player but he just hasn’t yet been able to close the door. He finished runner-up last month in Detroit for what was his fourth runner-up finish in a 12-month stretch. He was runner-up here in Minnesota last season. This feels like a very good course for him to finally notch that first PGA Tour victory. Over the last 24 rounds, he is 14th in this field for SG: Ball Striking, 16th for SG: Approach, 14th for SG: Putting (Bentgrass), and 13th in Birdies or Better Gained.
Emiliano Grillo (50-1)
Grillo has finished as high as eighth at PGA National and fifth at the Country Club of Jackson. He was runner-up here at TPC Twin Cities in 2022 and has twice been runner-up at the John Deere Classic, including just a few weeks ago. He’s not as long off the tee but he is very accurate and ranks 16th on Tour in Total Driving. Grillo is fourth in this field for SG: Approach, second in SG: Ball Striking, and ranks 11th for Birdies or Better Gained.
Kevin Yu (50-1)
It was right here in this column last fall that we correctly landed on Yu to win the Sanderson Farms Championship. Yu hits it long and straight, ranking eighth on Tour in Total Driving. He missed the cut last week in his first-ever Open Championship but the form has been solid, with two top-5 finishes in the last two months. Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks 17th in this field for SG: Ball Striking, sixth for SG: Off the Tee, and is 10th for Birdies or Better Gained.
Rico Hoey (60-1)
You will find Hoey’s name at the very top of the list, ranking No. 1 on Tour in Total Driving. In this field, he is 13th for SG: Ball Striking, seventh for SG: Off the Tee, 41st for SG: Putting (Bentgrass), and is 36th on the Par 4s, measuring 350-400 yards. Hoey has finished top 11 in two of his last three starts on Tour.
Andrew Putnam (70-1)
It was the 2018 Barracuda Championship where Putnam grabbed his first and only PGA Tour victory. He returned to the scene of the crime last week and finished 11th. He finished top 8 twice last month and back in March, he took 11th at PGA National. He’s been 19th and 11th here at TPC Twin Cities. I believe he has good course and current form. Over the last 24 rounds, Putnam ranks 28th in this field for SG: Approach and is sixth on the short Par 4s. He is sixth on Tour in Driving Accuracy and 15th for SG: Putting.
Kevin Roy (110-1)
We nearly got to a playoff with Roy a few weeks ago at the John Deere Classic but he came up one shot short. The form is certainly good though as that third-place finish was his second-straight top-10, the other coming the week prior at Detroit Golf Club. Roy ranks fourth on Tour in Total Driving and is second in this field on approach over the last 24 rounds. He is sixth in SG: Ball Striking and 13th on the short Par 4s.
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