Like the Masters, the RBC Heritage has been played at the same golf course for a long time, so we do have good course history data. The correlated courses are strong connections too. TPC Sawgrass, home to the Players Championship and another Pete Dye design, shares a lot of crossover success with Harbour Town. Others I used this week are Colonial Country Club (Charles Schwab Challenge), Sea Island (RSM Classic), Innisbrook (Valspar Championship), and Waialae Country Club, where they play the Sony Open in Hawaii.
I have six selections this week. I have played two of them also for a top-10 finish, and the remaining four for a top-20 finish. Let’s see if we can do better than a third-straight runner-up finish
Patrick Cantlay (20-1)
The man is practically an auto-play at this golf tournament. He has finished third four times, runner-up once and also seventh. He has two top-5 finishes already this season and was 12th last month at the Players Championship. Over the last 36 rounds, Cantlay is 16th in this field for SG: Approach and ranks ninth on the 400-450 yard Par 4s. I also played Cantlay for a top-10 finish.
Corey Conners (25-1)
Conners is currently playing some of the best golf of his career. He has five top-10 finishes this season in just 10 starts, including a sixth at the Players, eighth at the Valspar, and eighth again last week at the Masters. He has at least one top-10 finish at each of our correlated courses this week too. Conners is No. 1 in this field for Greens in Regulation Gained over the last 36-rounds and ranks top-20 for Hole Proximity from 125-200 yards out. Conners is my other top-10 finish play. Everyone else, I played for a top-20.
Daniel Berger (45-1)
Berger has been as high as third here at the RBC Heritage, won at Colonial in 2020, comes off a 21st-place finish at the Masters and a 20th last month at the Players. Last fall, Berger finished runner-up at the RSM Classic. Over the last 36-rounds, Berger ranks ninth in this field for SG: Tee to Green. He’s third in Fairways Gained, 13th in Greens in Regulation Gained, and is 18th in Scrambling.
Lucas Glover (80-1)
Glover missed the cut last week at the Masters but in March, took third at the Players Championship and eighth at the Valspar Championship. He has played this event over 20 times with multiple top-20 finishes. Like Conners, Glover too has finished top-10 at each one of our correlated courses this week. Glover ranks No. 1 in this field for Fairways Gained, is sixth for SG: Approach, sixth in Hole Proximity from 150-175 yards, and ranks 10th on the 400-450 yard Par 4’s.
Bud Cauley (90-1)
Cauley has finished sixth or better in three straight starts and that includes a sixth at the Players and a fourth at the Valspar. He is 10th in this field for Greens in Regulation Gained, 20th in Scrambling, sixth in Hole Proximity from 175-200 yards, and ranks fourth for SG: Tee to Green over the last 36 rounds.
Michael Kim (105-1)
This one is a bit of a flyer. I’ve seen prices as low as 66-1 and as high as what I have here in the triple-digits. Kim has missed the cut at Harbour Town three times. He’s missed at the Players four times and three times at Colonial, despite a sixth-place finish there in 2023. Kim, however, has become a vastly improved player in just the last few years. Between the WM Phoenix Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational this season, Kim’s record was 2-13-13-6-4. He just finished 27th last week at Augusta in only his second time playing the Masters with his debut being six years ago in 2019. He ranks third in this field for SG: Tee to Green over the last 36-rounds, is 11th for SG: Approach, 12th in Scrambling, and is 13th on the 400-450 yard Par 4s.
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