This week the FedEx Cup Playoffs head to Olympia Fields for the 2023 BMW Championship, and we’re picking a two-time PGA Tour winner who is currently on a tear as our long shot. Here’s our pick, the BMW Championship odds, betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week.
BMW Championship odds: Long-shot bet
For this week’s second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs at the BMW Championship, we’re taking J.T. Poston as our long-shot pick at +5500 odds-to-win.
Poston has missed 10 cuts on the season, but he’s also collected an impressive seven top-10 finishes. His highlight of the year came just a few weeks ago at the 3M Open, where he finished runner-up.
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But he’s been on a hot streak since the beginning of July. Here are what his last six finishes look like, dating back to the John Deere Classic on July 9th: T6, T6, T41, T2, T7 and T24.
With two victories on his resume, including last year’s John Deere Classic, we’re hoping Poston can cap off his recent run with a career-changing victory.
If you put $10 on Poston to win and he comes through, you’ll take home $550. For additional bets, consider putting small wagers on Poston to finish top 10 and top 20.
Looking for more long-shot picks for the BMW Championship? Our honorable-mention long shots for the week are Keegan Bradley (+6600) and Brendon Todd (+8000).
BMW Championship odds: The favorites
Defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy had another near-miss last week in Memphis, finishing one-shot short of the playoff. Still, it was good enough to earn him betting favorite honors at the BMW Championship, where he comes in at +750 to win.
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Scottie Scheffler trails him closely at +800, while Jon Rahm and last week’s runner-up Patrick Cantlay are tied at +1000 odds-to-win. Viktor Hovland closes out the top 5, coming in with odds-to-win of +1600.
You can see the top 15 and ties in BMW Championship betting odds as of Monday morning below, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week.
2023 BMW Championship betting odds (Top 15 and ties)
Rory McIlroy (+750)
Scottie Scheffler (+800)
Jon Rahm (+1000)
Patrick Cantlay (+1000)
Viktor Hovland (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Jordan Spieth (+2200)
Max Homa (+2200)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)
Russell Henley (+2800)
Hideki Matsuyama (+3000)
Lucas Glover (+3300)
Sungjae Im (+3300)
Tom Kim (+3300)
Rickie Fowler (+3300)
How last week’s long-shot fared
At last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, we picked Cam Davis as our long shot at +6600, and he made us look pretty smart. Davis stayed consistent throughout the event, gradually improving his position each day with rounds of 66-67-69-67.
When the last putt dropped, Davis had reached 11 under, good enough for a T6 finish and a top-10 and top-20 hit for us. That represents our fourth top-10 hit and 11th top-20 hit of the year. Long-shot honorary mention Stephan Jaeger also hit, finishing T20 at the FedEx St. Jude.
