The winner of this week’s FedEx Cup brings home a $10 million bonus to end the 2016-17 season. Not a small chunk of change if you can wrestle it away from the field competing at East Lake.
Technically, all 30 players in the field for the Tour Championship have a shot at winning the FedEx Cup, but it won’t be easy for all of them. A certain number of scenarios have to play out for each respective player to bring home the bonus.
But for five players, it’s easy. If they win the Tour Championship, they win the FedEx Cup. For others, not so much. Let’s check out some of the top players’ outlooks based on the scenarios provided by PGATour.com.
Dustin Johnson/Patrick Reed/Adam Scott/Jason Day/Paul Casey: Win the Tour Championship and they are FedEx Cup champs. They sit in the top five in the current standings, which guarantees them of doubling their trophy count on the day if they take care of business at East Lake. But even if they don’t win the Tour Championship they can still win the FedEx Cup based on their finish and where others land. That said, winning the thing themselves in the easiest way to expand the bank account on Sunday.
Rory McIlroy: McIlroy has to win and have Johnson finish T2 or worse to win the Cup. Technically, he can still finish second and have a chance of winning the FedEx Cup.
Jordan Spieth: The reigning FedEx Cup champion needs to win at East Lake and have Johnson and Reed finish T2 or worse. Johnson would need to be in a three-way tie for second, however, for Spieth to win.
Justin Thomas: Thomas needs to win the Tour Championship and have Johnson finish in a three-way tie for sixth or worse, Reed T4 or worse, Scott T3 or worse, Day in a three-way tie for second or worse and Casey finish T2 or worse.
Phil Mickelson: Mickelson, ranked 13th in the FexEx Cup standings entering this week, needs to win the Tour Championship and also have Johnson finish T7 or worse. He’ll then need Reed to finish T4 or worse, Scott T3 or worse, Day in a three-way tie for second or worse and Casey finish T2 or worse.
Bubba Watson: Watson might have more on the line than most this week. He needs to prove to Davis Love III he deserves the final Ryder Cup captain’s pick. Winning the FedEx Cup would be a good start. He would have to win at East Lake and then have Johnson finish 17th or worse. Then, frankly, he needs a lot to happen. Reed has to finish in a three-way tie for fifth or worse, Scott in a three-way tie for third or worse, Day T3 or worse, Casey in a three-way tie for second or worse and, lastly, McIlroy T2 or worse. Oh, and if all of that happens, Watson still might have to enter a playoff.