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Who’s going to win the 2026 Masters? Our writers make their picks

Two male golfers on a course, each wearing collared shirts and hats—one on the left smiling with a golf glove, the other holding a putter, both focused during a tournament, leaving viewers to wonder who will win the Masters.

Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young share the lead with one round remaining at the 2026 Masters.

Getty Images

Check in to GOLF’s Tour Confidential every Sunday night for the unfiltered opinions of our writers and editors as they break down the hottest topics in the sport. This week, with the Masters at Augusta National, we’ll hit one key topic every night.

After leading by a record six-shot margin at the 36-hole mark, Rory McIlroy now shares the lead with Cameron Young at 11 under par with one round remaining. Sam Burns is one shot back at 10 under, followed by Shane Lowry at 9 under, Jason Day and Justin Rose at 8 under, and Scottie Scheffler and Haotong Li at 7 under. So, who’s slipping into a green jacket on Sunday evening?

Jack Hirsh, associate equipment editor (@JR_HIRSHey): That feels like a loaded question at this point… I don’t know who else to rationally think will win this golf course if it’s not Rory. I would assume he’ll fix whatever is going on with his ball striking because he’s putting together a world-class scrambling effort. I think if he’s just a little better off the tee and with his irons Sunday, he gets it done. Otherwise, Scottie pulls off the unthinkable. 

Zephyr Melton, associate game-improvement editor (@zephyrmelton): My heart tells me Rory gets it done, but my brain tells me it’s going to be Cameron Young. Since shooting 40 on his opening nine of the tournament, Young has been far and away the best player in the field, going 15 under over his next 45 holes. It’s going to take some serious golf to keep up with Young’s torrid pace, and with Rory looking exceedingly shaky on Saturday, I don’t know that he’s up for the task.

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Jessica Marksbury, senior editor (@jess_marksbury): I’m not having a strong feeling about any player at this point — you could make a reasonable case for just about anyone within four shots or so of the lead. But if I have to choose someone, it’s going to be Rory. Assuming today was pretty much as bad as it could be for him, with a six-shot lead melting away in 12 holes, he’s still in front with one round remaining, and I believe has the fortitude and experience to right the ship and get this done.

Josh sens, senior writer (@joshsens): Because the golf gods have a wicked sense of humor, and because I see Scheffler posting another low round, I predict we get a three-way playoff, with Scheffler edging McIlroy and Young in sudden-death. There’s no doubt Rory has put the worst of his Augusta agony in the past. But it’s not going to feel great, slipping the green jacket back on the guy who helped him put it on last year. This game is cruel like that.

Josh Schrock, associate news editor (@schrock_and_awe): “Well, pal, we would’ve taken this on Monday morning.”

Yes, Rory’s six-shot lead evaporated after 12 holes. But he still has a share of the lead and I think he’ll be able to rectify the right miss with the driver and left miss with his irons and wedges. I expect Cam Young and Scottie Scheffler to push him, but I think Rory once again gets this across the line. Like Nicklaus in ‘75, who blew a five-shot lead with a Saturday 73 and then rebounded to win, Rory figures it out and beats Scottie by one.

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