2023 RSM Classic odds: Our long-shot pick could capture his first win this week

Adam Schenk hits drive at 2023 Tour Championship at East Lake

Adam Schenk is our long-shot pick this week in Sea Island.

Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The season-ending 2023 RSM Classic gets underway this week at Sea Island in Georgia, and we’re picking a winless pro who has been contending all season as our long-shot pick. Here’s our pick, the RSM Classic odds, betting favorites and everything else you need to know.

RSM Classic odds: Long-shot bet

Our long-shot pick for the final event of the PGA Tour’s Fall Series is Adam Schenk (+6600 odds to win). Schenk, who is 31, has had a great season on Tour. He’s made 22 cuts heading into the week and accumulated seven top-10 finishes.

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Better yet, Schenk has earned two runner-up finishes on the year, which means he’s been knocking on the door and due for his first career win any time now.

Recent results haven’t been great for Schenk, with a MC and a T51 in his two previous Fall Series starts, but he had two top-10s in the FedEx Cup Playoffs against stellar fields.

If you bet $10 on Schenk to win and he comes through, you’ll earn a cool $660. For insurance, consider additional bets on Schenk to finish top 20 and top 10.

Looking for more long-shot bets for the RSM Classic? Our honorable mentions this week are Camillo Villegas (+5500) and Harris English (+5500).

RSM Classic odds: The favorites

Ludvig Aberg hasn’t won a PGA Tour event in his young career, but he’s once again installed as the betting favorite at the RSM with +1400 odds to win.

Three players are tied in second behind Aberg at +2000: Russell Henley, Brian Harman and Cameron Young. Finishing out the top-five betting favorites is Corey Conners at +2500.

You can see the top 15 in RSM Classic betting odds as of Monday afternoon below, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week.

2023 RSM Classic betting odds (Top 15 and ties)

Ludvig Aberg (+1400)
Brian Harman (+2000)
Cameron Young (+2000)
Russell Henley (+2000)
Corey Conners (+2500)
Alex Noren (+2800)
Eric Cole (+2800)
J.T. Poston (+2800)
Justin Suh (+2800)
Adam Svensson (+3300)
Denny McCarthy (+3300)
SI Woo Kim (+3500)
Matt Kuchar (+3500)
Billy Horschel (+4000)
Brendon Todd (+4000)
Taylor Pendrith (+4000)

How last week’s long shot fared

At last week’s Butterfield Bermuda Championship, our long-shot pick Justin Lower (+5000 odds to win) came through with a T20 finish, giving us our 13th top-20 hit of the season with one tournament to go.

In addition, our honorable-mention long shot Ryan Palmer (+5000) shot a 66 on Sunday to finish T8, good enough for a top-10 hit.


Check out how our long-shot picks have fared all season long below.

2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Justin Lower (Odds: +5500; Finish: T20)
2023 World Wide Technology Championship: Joel Dahmen (Odds: +5500; Finish: WD)
2023 Zozo Championship: Cameron Champ (Odds: +5000; Finish: T59)
2023 Shriners Children’s Open: Cameron Champ (Odds: +6600; Finish: T18)
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship: Akshay Bhatia (Odds: +5000; Finish: T43)
2023 Fortinet Championship: Mark Hubbard (Odds: +5000; Finish: T17)
2023 BMW Championship: J.T. Poston (Odds: +5500; Finish: T22)
2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship: Cam Davis (Odds: +6600; Finish: T6)
2023 Wyndham Championship: Harris English (Odds: +6000; Finish: T33)
2023 3M Open: Tom Hoge (Odds: +6600; Finish: T20)
2023 Open Championship: Hideki Matsuyama (Odds: +8000; Finish: T13)
2023 Genesis Scottish Open: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +8000; Finish: T54)
2023 John Deere Classic: Dylan Wu (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic: Austin Eckroat (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Travelers Championship: Adam Scott (+6600; T19)
2023 U.S. Open: Keegan Bradley (Odds:+8000; Finish: MC)
2023 RBC Canadian Open: Nick Taylor (Odds: +6600; Finish: 1)
2023 Memorial Tournament: Keegan Bradley (Odds: +6600; Finish: T30)
2023 Charles Schwab Challenge: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +6600; Finish: T29)
2023 PGA Championship: Tyrrell Hatton (Odds: +4000; Finish: T15)
2023 AT&T Byron Nelson: J.J. Spaun (Odds: +6600; Finish: WD)
2023 Wells Fargo Championship: Sahith Theegala (Odds: +4000; Finish: T56)
2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta: Gary Woodland (Odds: +3300; Finish: T39)
2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans: Dahmen/McCarthy (Odds: +4000; Finish: T11)
2023 RBC Heritage: Tom Kim (Odds: +3500; Finish: MC)
2023 Masters: Tommy Fleetwood (Odds: +6600; Finish: 33)
2023 Valspar Championship: David Lingmerth (Odds: +12500; Finish: T27)
2023 Players Championship: Corey Conners (Odds: +6600; Finish: MC)
2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Billy Horschel (Odds: +10000; Finish: MC)
2023 Honda Classic: Sepp Straka (Odds: +5000; Finish: T5)
2023 Genesis Invitational: Adam Scott (Odds: +5500; Finish: 65)
2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)
2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)
2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)
2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35)

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